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Unknown
First published: October 1, 2026 - Last updated: October 1, 2026
TITLE INFORMATION
Author: Kunal Dhanda
Title: Does Political Alignment Deliver Justice?
Subtitle: SC Rape Reporting, Conviction, and Trial Pendency Under Partisan Alignment in India, 2001–2022
Journal: Preprint
Volume:
Issue:
Year: 2026 (Published online: July 23, 2026)
Pages:
ISSN: -
Language: English
Keywords:
Modern History:
21st Century |
Asian History:
Indian History |
Prosecution:
Inquiry /
Reporting
FULL TEXT
Link:
Research Square (Free Access)
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
Author:
ORCID
Abstract:
»India records over 6,800 rape cases with Scheduled Caste (SC) victims annually, but conviction rates remain below 35% and trial pendency exceeds 85%. This paper asks whether partisan alignment between state and central governments—the ruling party match that drives general fiscal transfers—also improves SC justice delivery: more reporting, higher conviction rates, lower pendency, and faster trial disposal. Using a state-year panel of 20 major Indian states over 2001–2022 ( N = 427), we find consistent alignment premiums across all four justice outcomes. Aligned states show higher SC rape registration rates (+4 . 2% TWFE, p < 0 . 01), higher conviction rates (+1 . 0 pp, p < 0 . 01), lower pendency ( − 1 . 1 pp, p < 0 . 001), and faster disposal times (−0.29 years, p < 0.001).
BJP–INC heterogeneity reveals a sharp divergence in the reporting channel: BJP-aligned states show substantially higher reporting (+7 . 4% TWFE, p < 0 . 01) while INC-aligned states show none (+0 . 5%, p = 0 . 82). Conviction and pendency premiums are similar across both party families. We interpret the BJP-reporting premium as consistent with both increased FIR registration pressure under BJP state governments (which may reflect electoral signalling on law-and-order) and possible under-reporting suppression in INC-governed states with stronger dominant-caste political networks.
Wild cluster bootstrap (WCB, G = 20, B = 999) confirms the pendency result (WCB 95% CI [ − 1 . 43 ,− 0 . 97]) but cannot reject zero for reporting and conviction with only 20 clusters. Results are robust to year fixed effects and state fixed effects separately.«
(Source: Paper)
Contents:
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1 Introduction (p. 3) |
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2 Related Literature (p. 4) |
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2.1 Caste and Sexual Violence in India (p. 4) |
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2.2 Partisan Transfers and Political Economy of SC Outcomes (p. 4) |
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2.3 Conviction Rates and Trial Delays in India (p. 5) |
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3 SC Criminal Justice Architecture (p. 5) |
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3.1 SC/ST Prevention of Atrocities Act (p. 5) |
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3.2 State Police and Central Court Administration (p. 6) |
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3.3 National Commission for Scheduled Castes (NCSC) (p. 6) |
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4 Data (p. 6) |
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4.1 Panel Structure (p. 6) |
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4.2 SC Justice Outcomes (p. 6) |
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4.3 Political Variables (p. 7) |
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4.4 SC Legislative Representation (p. 7) |
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5 Empirical Strategy (p. 7) |
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5.1 Progressive Specifications (p. 7) |
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5.2 BJP–INC Heterogeneity (p. 8) |
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5.3 Wild Cluster Bootstrap (p. 8) |
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6 Results (p. 8) |
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6.1 SC Rape Reporting (Table 1) (p. 8) |
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6.2 Conviction Rate and Pendency (Table 2) (p. 9) |
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6.3 Disposal Time (Table 3)(p. 9) |
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6.4 BJP vs. INC: Divergent Reporting Premiums (Table 4) (p. 10) |
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7 Discussion (p. 11) |
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7.1 The Alignment Premium: Fiscal vs. Justice Channels (p. 11) |
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7.2 Judicial Federalism and Centre–State Justice Coordination (p. 11) |
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7.3 High-Profile Cases: Are They Representative? (p. 12) |
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7.4 Limitations (p. 12) |
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8 Conclusion (p. 12) |
Wikipedia:
History of Asia:
History of India /
History of India (1947–present) |
Caste:
Caste system in India /
Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes |
Sex and the law:
Rape /
Rape in India
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